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âI donât need to tell you all that what weâre facing is incredibly dangerous, not just to us but to the world. Gentlemen, this is our real enemy,â she said and the screen changed to a microscopic image of what Cooper presumed to be the weaponized bug. To him, it looked like a hairy blob, floating in bubbles.
âMany of you will recognize this as the image that graced the cover of Time Magazine at the onset of The Great Pandemic. We are facing that same virus today, only I can confirm now it has been genetically modified to act as a weapon of mass destruction. Perhaps the greatest such weapon that has ever been devised and unleashed by mankind.â
Cooper and Charlie shared a look. Holy shit. Then Charlie blew him a mimed kiss. Cooper frowned and turned to the front.
âYouâve all seen the early casualty reports and Iâm sure no one here needs a reminder of the chaos we all suffered through ten years ago. Well, gentlemen, we are only seeing the tip of the iceberg. The infected numbers have risen across the country for the past three days at a steady rate and if the pattern holds true to ten years ago, weâll see a sharp uptick in morbidity in just a few more days. Weâre already seeing higher-than-average fatalities in hot zones.â
The screen changed to a huge map of the United States. âHot ZonesâEpicenters of Contagionâ read the title at the top of the screen. On the map, Los Angeles, Sacramento, Seattle, New York, Chicago, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C. were represented by blinking red dots.
Numbers appeared next to each dotâthe number of cases was staggering. In Los Angeles alone there were reported over 100,000 people sick with the flu in the past week. Cooper blinkedâa warning at the bottom of the screen indicated that the data was not complete for all secondary infection epicenters. The map was only listing the primary targets of the bio-weapon.
âIt makes me sick to my stomach to say this, but it appears that there has been an antigen drift,â Brenda said.
There were a few whispered comments from audience.
Antigen drift.
The Pandemic years seemed like another lifetime away, but Cooper well remembered those two little words. During height of the crisis, the press had breathlessly exclaimed scientists had finally found a way to beat the dreaded virusâonly to discover it had mutated slightly, allowing it to parry modern medicineâs counterpunch. The virologists had called it an antigen drift.
He had learned antigen drift was nothing really unusualâviruses do it all the time, especially influenzaâbut before the world could catch its breath, the drift had turned into a shift. The H5N1 Pandemicâs antigen shift had completely fooled the human immune system and threw the floodgates wide open. Infection rates skyrocketed, igniting a wildfire that roared to life around the entire planet. Wherever the Blue Flu went, death followed in its footsteps.
The antigen drift had been the tipping pointâwhen the H5N1 crisis had surpassed the 1918 Spanish Flu as the single deadliest pandemic in all of recorded human history. After that, it would forever be known as The Pandemic.
And it had all started with those two little words: antigen drift.
ââreach the tipping point,â Brenda was saying, her face grim. Cooper suppressed a shiver. Tipping point. Another pair of words that brought back a lot of bad, bad memories.
âWe canât, of course, predict when that point will be, but I can assure you,â she continued, âit wonât be too long now. Weâre seeing some major drifts in cultures taken from the Occupied Zone that arenât being matched by whatâs happening on the Eastern Seaboard.â
Movement at the head table caught her eye.
âWe, ahâŠâ she said, as Admiral Bennet stood and moved toward the podium.
âMay I?â he asked.
âOf course, sir,â Brenda replied. She stepped aside.
The Admiral cleared his throat and appeared to be considering what to say. Cooper instinctively leaned forward a little. âI believe I may be able to shed a little more light on this situation. At his first cabinet meeting this afternoon, President Harris was briefed by the CIA concerning the North Korean invasion. I canât tell you everything that was said, but I can tell you the North Koreans have managed to inoculate their marines with some sort of half-assed vaccine. At least thatâs what the spooks told the President,â he said to a welcome round of chuckles from his audience.
âSeems the North Koreans have hit on the idea to whip-up some second-hand, cloned version of our old synthetic H5N1 vaccineâthe stuff with a reduced shelf-life that we gave countries that werenât exactly friendly to us. Well, they mixed it with methamphetamine. The combination seems to be giving their troops just enough of an edge to counteract the weaponized flu thatâs saturated the West Coast. Our best guess is this mixture, unstable as it is, wonât be effective for very longâthen the NKors are going to start getting sick and dropping whether we shoot them or not.â
âI vote we shoot them anyway, just to make sure,â grumbled the Commandant from the head table. A ragged cheer erupted from the assembled commanders that only stopped when Admiral Bennet raised both hands.
âMajor,â Admiral Bennet said, stepping out of the way as Brenda once again took the podium.
âWell, either the weaponized strain of flu that was released in the U.S. is changing its own genetic code, or the vaccine strain the Koreans carry may be combining with the weaponized strain they released. Either way, itâs starting to mutate into something slightly different and we canât be sure which way itâs going to jump.â
The screen behind her changed from the microscopic monster to a graph with different colored lines. Cooper saw one for young children, one for healthy adults in their prime, and one for the elderly. The curves and spikes didnât mean much to Cooper, but there was an oddly familiar pattern. The line for kids was just a curve. So was that for the elderly. But the line for healthy adults made a distinct W pattern.
âThis is the mortality graph from the Spanish Flu of 1918.â A laser pointer flared to life and she moved the dot to trace along the âWâ line. âIt was the first time in history that we noticed this particular pattern. The Spanish Flu had normal death-tolls among the very young and oldâthe two most vulnerable age groups in the population for any given flu season.â
The laser bobbed and weaved along the W. Cooper could tell she was nervous. Hell, he would be too, if he had to get up in front of this much brass and talk about something so frightening.
âThis is the scary part. The W line you see here indicates the healthy adult populationâages 20-40 roughlyâpeople who were naturally the most likely to either fight off the flu entirely, or to get sick and recover. That spike in the middle represents the large die-off that occurred in 1918 affecting the healthy adult population. It went against all medical knowledge at the time and was completely novel and utterly devastating.â The slide changed to another chart with different dates and similar shapes.
âThis is the same chart, with data taken from The Great Pandemic. Notice the similarity? Theyâre very close, yet the mortality rates are much higher for the H5N1 virus as opposed to the 1918 flu, which was H1N1. The average curves are nearly identical, though. The Spanish Flu had a 2 to 4 percent mortality rate. Infected patients had a 97-percent chanceâroughlyâof surviving. The problem was, if you were in that 2 to 3 percent, you died and there was nothing anyone could do. And it happened fast. Death occurred in many cases less than 72 hours after first presenting with symptoms.â
The slide changed to a calendar. âIt has been a week now since the first fatality that we can confirm was caused by this weaponized form of the Blue Flu.â The slide changed again showing what looked like a steep, exponential curve. âWe are on the cusp of the initial spike. Despite what the current fatality reports are currently indicating, I would add at least 15 percent to those numbers, and thatâs a conservative estimate.â
She waited for the murmuring to die down. âThe reason Iâm telling you all of this is because this form of the H5N1 Pandemic virus has been, as I said, genetically modified by the North Koreans to be even more lethal than the original version. The mutations weâve found recently indicate that the virusâat least in samples from Los Angeles and Seattleâis somehow slipping past the bodyâs natural defense mechanisms. The human body doesnât even recognize this thing as a threat.â
âYouâre talking a stealth virus,â someone called out. A ripple of chuckles spread through the crowd.
Cooper felt his own patience wearing thin. Dr. Alstonâs cheeks flushed. âSir, if youâd like to continue making jokes, go ahead. But this âstealth virusâ has what weâre estimating to be a 10-percent mortality rate. The Spanish Flu killed roughly 100 million people worldwide in the span of a yearâit had a 3-percent average mortality rate.â She took a breath and gripped the sides of the podium with white knuckles. âThe Great Pandemic killed almost half a billion people around the planet with a 6-percent fatality rate. At 10 percent, we could be looking at death rates that would almost double what we saw 10 years ago.â
The room became as silent as a crypt.
âGentlemen, Iâm telling you this because you have to take measures now to protect and insulate your soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines. We will not be able to fight the North Koreansâor any other threatsâif a tenth of our war fighters are dead and the rest are recovering from a major illness.â She rubbed her temples and Cooper could see the frustration in her face.
The screen changed again, this time showing a picture of police officers wearing surgical masks during The Great
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